Cocoa Price Trend

Cocoa Price Trend, Index and Forecast

Track real-time and historical cocoa prices across global regions. Updated monthly with market insights, drivers, and forecasts.

Cocoa Prices October 2025

Cocoa Price Index (USD/KG): 

The chart below highlights monthly cocoa prices across different regions.

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Market Overview Q3 Ending September 2025

Europe: Several demand-side factors played a role in this upward movement, including the steady demand for chocolate products during the summer months and growing interest in sustainable sourcing. On the supply side, cocoa production challenges, such as adverse weather in major producer countries continued to create tightness in the market. Supply chain issues, including transportation delays and rising port handling costs, further added to the cost of cocoa imports. The strengthening of the euro also contributed to the price increase, making European imports of cocoa more expensive. Furthermore, the increasing compliance costs related to certifications for organic and fair-trade cocoa had a significant impact on the final product price.

South America: A number of factors contributed to the increase, with both domestic and foreign factors playing a major role. Unfavorable weather conditions affected production in major cocoa-producing nations like Brazil and Ecuador, affecting yields and adding to supply chain strain. Import prices were also raised by the increase in international shipping expenses brought on by changes in fuel prices as well as higher taxes in some areas. On the demand side, rising domestic chocolate production and an increase in exports to North America and Europe drove higher consumption in the South American market. The ongoing growth of fair-trade cocoa certificates also had an impact on the market, raising prices.  

Southeast Asia: The region, which includes key cocoa-producing nations like Indonesia and the Philippines, faced mixed production outcomes. While weather conditions were generally favorable, logistical challenges, including port delays and labor shortages, continued to affect supply chains. Additionally, rising energy prices and increased costs of fertilizers and pesticides in Southeast Asia led to higher production costs for local farmers. On the demand side, there was consistent consumption in regional chocolate markets, coupled with increasing exports to global markets, particularly to Europe and the Middle East. These factors combined to push prices up, though the overall increase was more moderate compared to South America. The ongoing push towards more sustainable production practices also added an upward pressure on prices.

Cocoa Price Trend, Market Analysis, and News

IMARC's latest publication, “Cocoa Prices, Trend, Chart, Demand, Market Analysis, News, Historical and Forecast Data Report 2025 Edition,” presents a detailed examination of the cocoa market, providing insights into both global and regional trends that are shaping prices. This report delves into the spot price of cocoa at major ports and analyzes the composition of prices, including FOB and CIF terms. It also presents detailed cocoa prices trend analysis by region, covering North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Latin America, and Middle East and Africa. The factors affecting cocoa pricing, such as the dynamics of supply and demand, geopolitical influences, and sector-specific developments, are thoroughly explored. This comprehensive report helps stakeholders stay informed with the latest market news, regulatory updates, and technological progress, facilitating informed strategic decision-making and forecasting.

Cocoa Industry Analysis

The global cocoa industry size reached USD 16.88 Billion in 2024. By 2033, IMARC Group expects the market to reach USD 26.6 Billion, at a projected CAGR of 4.94% during 2025-2033. The market is driven by the demand for chocolate and confectionery products, increasing consumer preference for premium and sustainable cocoa products, ongoing innovations in cocoa processing technologies and the growth of cocoa-based plant-based alternatives.

Latest developments in the Cocoa industry:

• August 2025: Nestlé developed an innovative, patented method to use up to 30% more of the cocoa fruit in chocolate production. By incorporating parts of the fruit that had previously gone unused, the process reduced waste across the supply chain. At the same time, it allowed cocoa farmers to increase both the output and value of their harvests.
   
• March 2024: Cargill introduced its NatureFresh Professional line of block chocolates, chocolate chips, and cocoa powder designed specifically for the Indian bakery and confectionery sector. The company displayed its cutting-edge food solutions at the AAHAR 2024, emphasizing its dedication to providing secure, top-notch products and forming connections in the Indian market.
   
• February 2024: California Cultured teamed up with the Japanese chocolate company Meiji in a decade-long agreement to provide cell-based Flavanol Cocoa Powder for use in Meiji's goods. This partnership aimed to launch lab-grown chocolate in the market, tackling sustainability and supply issues in the cocoa sector.
   
• February 2023: Mars Wrigley India introduced GALAXY FUSIONS dark chocolate with 70% cocoa, entering the dark chocolate category. This initiative increased the manufacturing of GALAXY brand in India, with the goal of boosting its presence in the molded chocolates segment.

Product Description

Cocoa is a natural agricultural product derived from the seeds of the cacao tree (Theobroma cacao). Classified as a key soft commodity, it plays a vital role in the global food and beverage sector. Cocoa beans are processed into cocoa liquor, butter, and powder, each serving as essential inputs in chocolate manufacturing, confectionery, and bakery industries. Beyond food, cocoa butter is a valued ingredient in pharmaceuticals and personal care due to its moisturizing and antioxidant properties. Its global significance lies in its dual role as both a staple food ingredient and a versatile industrial raw material, underpinning strong and consistent demand.

Report Coverage

Key Benefits for Stakeholders:

• IMARC’s report presents a detailed analysis of cocoa pricing, covering global and regional trends, spot prices at key ports, and a breakdown of FOB and CIF prices.
• The study examines factors affecting cocoa price trend, including input costs, supply-demand shifts, and geopolitical impacts, offering insights for informed decision-making.
• The competitive landscape review equips stakeholders with crucial insights into the latest market news, regulatory changes, and technological advancements, ensuring a well-rounded, strategic overview for forecasting and planning.
• IMARC offers various subscription options, including monthly, quarterly, and biannual updates, allowing clients to stay informed with the latest market trends, ongoing developments, and comprehensive market insights. The cocoa price charts ensure our clients remain at the forefront of the industry.