Kerosene Prices, Trend, Chart, Demand, Market Analysis, News, Historical and Forecast Data Report 2025 Edition
Kerosene Price Trend, Index and Forecast
Track the latest insights on kerosene price trend and forecast with detailed analysis of regional fluctuations and market dynamics across North America, Latin America, Central Europe, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, Middle East, North Africa, West Africa, Central and Southern Africa, Central Asia, Southeast Asia, South Asia, East Asia, and Oceania.
Kerosene Prices Outlook Q1 2025
- USA: US$ 720/Ton
- China: US$ 1045/Ton
- India: US$ 540/Ton
- Germany: US$ 1190/Ton
- France: US$ 1320/Ton
Kerosene Price Chart
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During the first quarter of 2025, kerosene prices in the USA reached 720 USD/Ton in March. Kerosene prices held steady during the first quarter of 2025, supported by strong inventory levels and stable domestic refining activity. Demand from the heating oil segment was moderate due to seasonal weather conditions, while jet fuel consumption continued at a steady pace, driven by ongoing aviation activity. Broader crude oil trends and logistical factors, including transportation and distribution costs, shaped pricing. Overall, the market exhibited balanced fundamentals with limited price disruption.
During the first quarter of 2025, kerosene prices in China reached 1045 USD/Ton in March. Prices remained relatively stable, underpinned by consistent demand from the aviation sector and stable refinery output. Seasonal variation in heating demand had a limited impact due to urban infrastructure's reliance on alternative fuels. The broader fuel market in China remained influenced by crude oil import patterns and state-controlled pricing mechanisms. While global energy trends impacted sentiment, kerosene prices showed minimal volatility across the quarter.
During the first quarter of 2025, kerosene prices in India reached 540 USD/Ton in March. Kerosene prices in India remained relatively stable during the first quarter of 2025, supported by steady demand from rural households and the public distribution system. While seasonal heating needs were limited, consistent consumption in remote and off-grid areas sustained price levels. Crude oil price trends and domestic refinery throughput significantly influenced price movements. Overall, the market remained well-supplied, and government pricing regulations helped maintain stability despite global fluctuations.
During the first quarter of 2025, kerosene prices in Germany reached 1190 USD/Ton in March. Kerosene prices remained largely steady, with minimal volatility across the period. Stable refinery operations and efficient supply logistics supported consistent availability, while moderate heating demand early in the quarter contributed to steady consumption. The aviation sector continued to be the primary demand driver, with regulatory developments around sustainable fuel adoption influencing procurement trends. Although crude oil prices softened slightly, domestic kerosene pricing was shaped more by local distribution and environmental compliance factors, keeping market sentiment cautiously balanced.
During the first quarter of 2025, kerosene prices in France reached 1320 USD/Ton in March. Kerosene prices in the region witnessed moderate stability during the first quarter of 2025, supported by consistent supply from domestic and regional refineries. Seasonal demand for heating declined towards the end of the quarter, while aviation sector consumption remained steady, providing a base level of support to prices. Regulatory influence from ongoing energy transition policies, including sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) blending requirements, impacted kerosene procurement dynamics. Despite broader macroeconomic stability, kerosene pricing remained sensitive to fluctuations in crude oil benchmarks and regional distribution costs.
Regional Coverage
The report provides a detailed analysis of the market across different regions, each with unique pricing dynamics influenced by localized market conditions, supply chain intricacies, and geopolitical factors. This includes price trends, price forecast and supply and demand trends for each region, along with spot prices by major ports. The report also provides coverage of FOB and CIF prices, as well as the key factors influencing the kerosene prices.
Global Kerosene Price Trend
The report offers a holistic view of the global kerosene pricing trends in the form of kerosene price charts, reflecting the worldwide interplay of supply-demand balances, international trade policies, and overarching economic factors that shape the market on a macro level. This comprehensive analysis not only highlights current price levels but also provides insights into historical price of kerosene, enabling stakeholders to understand past fluctuations and their underlying causes. The report also delves into price forecast models, projecting future price movements based on a variety of indicators such as expected changes in supply chain dynamics, anticipated policy shifts, and emerging market trends. By examining these factors, the report equips industry participants with the necessary tools to make informed strategic decisions, manage risks, and capitalize on market opportunities. Furthermore, it includes a detailed kerosene demand analysis, breaking down regional variations and identifying key drivers specific to each geographic market, thus offering a nuanced understanding of the global pricing landscape.
Europe Kerosene Price Trend
Q1 2025:
In Europe, kerosene prices follow a gentle downward trend. The market faced regulatory headwinds, and efficient refinery output maintained ample supply. Additionally, deflationary pressure from a slight dip in crude prices in February and March led to a modest easing. Prices in key markets, such as Germany, France, and the UK, remained largely stable, with minor fluctuations tied to local distribution costs. Demand from the aviation sector held firm, while heating oil use declined seasonally, contributing to a well-balanced pricing environment.
This analysis can be extended to include detailed kerosene price information for a comprehensive list of countries.
| Region | Countries Covered |
|---|---|
| Europe | Germany, France, United Kingdom, Italy, Spain, Russia, Turkey, Netherlands, Poland, Sweden, Belgium, Austria, Ireland, Switzerland, Norway, Denmark, Romania, Finland, Czech Republic, Portugal, and Greece, among other European countries. |
North America Kerosene Price Trend
Q1 2025:
In North America, kerosene prices showed mild overall softness, supported by abundant crude supply and steady refinery outputs. Domestic heating demand was somewhat elevated early in the year due to colder weather, but lower global oil prices and stable US inventories offset this. Tariff-related uncertainties in the US and cross-border trade also introduced sporadic price shifts; however, core fundamentals remained balanced, with no sharp volatility across the quarter.
Specific kerosene historical data within the United States and Canada can also be provided.
| Region | Countries Covered |
|---|---|
| North America | United States and Canada |
Middle East and Africa Kerosene Price Trend
Q1 2025:
The report explores the kerosene trends and kerosene price chart in the Middle East and Africa, considering factors like regional industrial growth, the availability of natural resources, and geopolitical tensions that uniquely influence market prices.
In addition to region-wise data, information on kerosene prices for countries can also be provided.
| Region | Countries Covered |
|---|---|
| Middle East & Africa | Saudi Arabia, UAE, Israel, Iran, South Africa, Nigeria, Oman, Kuwait, Qatar, Iraq, Egypt, Algeria, and Morocco, among other Middle Eastern and African countries. |
Asia Pacific Kerosene Price Trend
Q1 2025:
In the Asia-Pacific region, kerosene prices experienced a generally stable-to-moderate trend, shaped by well-supplied oil markets, even amid geopolitical and regional policy uncertainties. Aviation fuel demand remained steady, underpinned by a resilient air traffic recovery, supporting price stability. Refinery output levels held firm, balancing any seasonal upticks in household and industrial consumption. Overall, the market reflected a backdrop of abundant crude supply, consistent regional demand, and limited disruption—keeping kerosene pricing conditions largely balanced across the region.
This kerosene price analysis can be expanded to include a comprehensive list of countries within the region.
| Region | Countries Covered |
|---|---|
| Asia Pacific | China, India, Indonesia, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Japan, Philippines, Vietnam, Thailand, South Korea, Malaysia, Nepal, Taiwan, Sri Lanka, Hongkong, Singapore, Australia, and New Zealand, among other Asian countries. |
Latin America Kerosene Price Trend
Q1 2025:
Latin America's kerosene market is predominantly influenced by its rich natural reserves, particularly in countries like Chile and Brazil. However, political instability and inconsistent regulatory frameworks can lead to significant volatility in kerosene prices. Infrastructure challenges and logistical inefficiencies often impact the supply chain, affecting the region's ability to meet international demand consistently. Moreover, kerosene index, economic fluctuations, and currency devaluation are critical factors that need to be considered when analyzing kerosene pricing trends in this region.
This comprehensive review can be extended to include specific countries within the region.
| Region | Countries Covered |
|---|---|
| Latin America | Brazil, Mexico, Argentina, Columbia, Chile, Ecuador, and Peru, among other Latin American countries. |
Kerosene Price Trend, Market Analysis, and News
IMARC's latest publication, “Kerosene Prices, Trend, Chart, Demand, Market Analysis, News, Historical and Forecast Data Report 2025 Edition,” presents a detailed examination of the kerosene market, providing insights into both global and regional trends that are shaping prices. This report delves into the spot price of kerosene at major ports and analyzes the composition of prices, including FOB and CIF terms. It also presents a detailed kerosene price trend analysis by region, covering North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Latin America, and Middle East and Africa. The factors affecting kerosene pricing, such as the dynamics of supply and demand, geopolitical influences, and sector-specific developments, are thoroughly explored. This comprehensive report helps stakeholders stay informed with the latest market news, regulatory updates, and technological progress, facilitating informed strategic decision-making and forecasting.
Kerosene Industry Analysis
The global kerosene market size reached 8.85 Million BPD in 2024. By 2033, IMARC Group expects the market to reach 11.15 Million BPD, at a projected CAGR of 2.40% during 2025-2033.
- The global kerosene industry is experiencing a steady transformation driven by evolving end-user demand and technological progress. Kerosene remains integral to several key sectors, including aviation, household energy use in rural areas, and select industrial applications. In the aviation segment, demand is primarily supported by consistent growth in commercial air traffic and cargo movement. Additionally, niche applications in military operations, space programs, and portable heating equipment continue to sustain kerosene's relevance in specific markets. The industry also sees consistent interest in kerosene-based products in areas where access to grid-based energy remains limited.
- Advancements in refining and distribution are contributing to streamlined production and improved fuel quality. Refiners are focusing on optimizing efficient yield and upgrading facilities to meet emerging emission standards and performance specifications. Modernization in the logistics chain is ensuring smoother kerosene supply, especially in emerging economies where infrastructure development remains a priority. Moreover, integration with broader energy supply chains and multi-fuel distribution networks is enabling kerosene to maintain its strategic position within a diversified energy mix.
- Regional demand patterns are characterized by dynamic shifts influenced by climate, infrastructure development, and energy consumption habits. In Africa and parts of Asia, kerosene remains a crucial source of energy for households and micro-enterprises. Meanwhile, in developed markets, kerosene consumption is largely driven by the aviation sector. Seasonal trends also influence consumption levels, especially in regions where kerosene is used for heating during colder months. With innovation in synthetic fuels and ongoing advancements in refining technologies, the industry continues to adapt to modern energy expectations while preserving its utility across traditional domains.
Kerosene News
The report covers the latest developments, updates, and trends impacting the global kerosene industry, providing stakeholders with timely and relevant information. This segment covers a wide array of news items, including the inauguration of new production facilities, advancements in kerosene production technologies, strategic market expansions by key industry players, and significant mergers and acquisitions that impact the kerosene price trend.
Latest developments in the Kerosene industry:
- March 2025: The Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO) successfully conducted the first hot test of its 200-tonne thrust semi-cryogenic engine using a LOX-kerosene fuel combination at the ISRO Propulsion Complex, Mahendragiri. The semi-cryogenic engine, powered by a LOX-kerosene propellant combination, is being developed to boost the payload capacity of the LVM3 launch vehicle and strengthen its capability for upcoming space missions.
- January 2023: Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited (BPCL) launched a new low-smoke Superior Kerosene Oil (SKO) for the Indian Army in Jammu, marking the first time an oil marketing company (OMC) had initiated the supply of LSLA-grade SKO. The cleaner-burning variant is designed to reduce smoke and odor, significantly improving living conditions for soldiers operating in high-altitude regions with low oxygen levels.
Product Description
Kerosene is a flammable hydrocarbon liquid derived from petroleum, widely used as a fuel across various applications. Typically, pale yellow or colorless with a mild, distinctive odor, kerosene has long been valued for its versatility. Traditionally used in oil lamps, its primary uses today include serving as heating oil in domestic heaters and furnaces, as well as being a key component in aviation fuel for jet engines.
Additionally, kerosene functions as an effective solvent in products such as greases and insecticides. While its role as a lighting fuel has diminished, kerosene remains essential in many parts of the world due to its reliability, adaptability, and continued importance in both household and industrial energy needs.
Report Coverage
| Key Attributes | Details |
|---|---|
| Product Name | Kerosene |
| Report Features | Exploration of Historical Trends and Market Outlook, Industry Demand, Industry Supply, Gap Analysis, Challenges, Ammonia Price Analysis, and Segment-Wise Assessment. |
| Currency/Units | US$ (Data can also be provided in local currency) or Metric Tons |
| Region/Countries Covered | The current coverage includes analysis at the global and regional levels only. Based on your requirements, we can also customize the report and provide specific information for the following countries: Asia Pacific: China, India, Indonesia, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Japan, Philippines, Vietnam, Thailand, South Korea, Malaysia, Nepal, Taiwan, Sri Lanka, Hongkong, Singapore, Australia, and New Zealand* Europe: Germany, France, United Kingdom, Italy, Spain, Russia, Turkey, Netherlands, Poland, Sweden, Belgium, Austria, Ireland, Switzerland, Norway, Denmark, Romania, Finland, Czech Republic, Portugal and Greece* North America: United States and Canada Middle East & Africa: Saudi Arabia, UAE, Israel, Iran, South Africa, Nigeria, Oman, Kuwait, Qatar, Iraq, Egypt, Algeria, and Morocco* Latin America: Brazil, Mexico, Argentina, Columbia, Chile, Ecuador, Peru* *The list of countries presented is not exhaustive. Information on additional countries can be provided if required by the client. |
| Information Covered for Key Suppliers |
|
| Customization Scope | The report can be customized as per the requirements of the customer |
| Report Price and Purchase Option |
Plan A: Monthly Updates - Annual Subscription
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Plan C: Biannually Updates - Annual Subscription
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| Post-Sale Analyst Support | 360-degree analyst support after report delivery |
| Delivery Format | PDF and Excel through email (We can also provide the editable version of the report in PPT/Word format on special request) |
Key Benefits for Stakeholders:
- IMARC’s report presents a detailed analysis of kerosene pricing, covering global and regional trends, spot prices at key ports, and a breakdown of FOB and CIF prices.
- The study examines factors affecting kerosene price trend, including input costs, supply-demand shifts, and geopolitical impacts, offering insights for informed decision-making.
- The competitive landscape review equips stakeholders with crucial insights into the latest market news, regulatory changes, and technological advancements, ensuring a well-rounded, strategic overview for forecasting and planning.
- IMARC offers various subscription options, including monthly, quarterly, and biannual updates, allowing clients to stay informed with the latest market trends, ongoing developments, and comprehensive market insights. The kerosene price charts ensure our clients remain at the forefront of the industry.
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