Methanol Prices in Q2 Witness Volatility Amid Global Supply Shifts

05-Aug-2025
Methanol Price Q2 2025


The global methanol industry is navigating a period of moderated pricing momentum in Q2 2025, reflecting diverse regional supply-demand dynamics and fluctuating downstream activity. According to IMARC Group’s newly released publication, Methanol Price Trend, Index and Forecast Data Report 2025 Edition, that provides updated insights for Q2 2025, the market is shaped by a stable demand base across chemicals, energy, and construction sectors, but disrupted by oversupply in certain regions and subdued trading sentiment. The most notable market movements were observed in the North America, Asia Pacific and Europe.

Q2 2025 Methanol Prices:

  • USA: USD 705/MT
  • South Korea: USD 330/MT
  • Netherlands: USD 347/MT
  • Taiwan: USD 325/MT
  • China: USD 332/MT

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Methanol’s sustained demand across high-performance industries, such as chemicals, fuels, and construction materials, continues to underpin its strategic importance, contributing to a stable or upward global price trend amid evolving regional supply dynamics.

Key Regional Price Trends and Market Drivers:

USA

Methanol prices in the United States reached USD 705/MT in Q2 2025. The market remained steady due to ample domestic supply, even though imports from Latin America declined. Trading activity was subdued in anticipation of the 4th of July holiday, and downstream demand, particularly from coatings and MTBE sectors, was stable but unspectacular.

South Korea

Methanol was priced at USD 330/MT in South Korea for Q2 2025. The market remained balanced, supported by steady production, no major plant disruptions, and normal demand from formaldehyde and olefin sectors. The absence of volatility sustained pricing equilibrium.

Netherlands

Methanol prices in the Netherlands dropped to USD 347/MT during the second quarter of 2025. The decline was driven by oversupply caused by a steady influx of low-cost cargoes from the US and the Middle East. Weak spot market demand and stagnant industrial activity across Europe reinforced the downward pressure.

Taiwan

Taiwan recorded methanol prices of USD 325/MT during June 2025. A downward trend was driven by regional oversupply from Iran and Southeast Asia. Weak downstream demand, particularly from MTBE and formaldehyde industries, discouraged aggressive spot purchases and dragged prices lower.

China

In China, methanol prices held at USD 332/MT in Q2 2025. Balanced contract-based supply and consistent operation of methanol-to-olefin (MTO) units prevented broader regional bearish trends from impacting the domestic market. Downstream demand remained constant, supporting price stability.

Methanol Industry Overview:

The global methanol market reached a value of USD 37.97 Billion in 2024 and is expected to expand to USD 56.91 Billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 4.40% during 2025-2033. The market benefits from rising consumption across end-use industries including automotive, construction, and electronics, coupled with methanol’s increasing use as an alternative fuel. Its role as a key feedstock in formaldehyde, acetic acid, and MTBE production ensures continued relevance in industrial value chains.

Key drivers for the market include technological advancements in methanol-to-olefin and methanol-to-propylene conversion, along with growing production in emerging economies, especially China and India, which are accelerating global supply capacity. Increasing environmental regulations, fluctuations in crude oil prices, and the drive toward cleaner energy sources are further contributing to methanol’s expanding market potential.

Recent Market Trends and Industry Analysis:

The methanol industry is witnessing sustained expansion, supported by its integral role in the production of formaldehyde, acetic acid, MTBE, and various solvents. As a chemical feedstock, methanol supports a broad range of industrial applications, including adhesives, resins, coatings, pharmaceuticals, and fuel blending. Its adoption as a marine fuel and cleaner-burning alternative to gasoline is gaining traction, especially in markets responding to environmental regulations. The introduction of renewable methanol production technologies, alongside increased methanol-to-olefin (MTO) and methanol-to-propylene (MTP) conversion capacities, reflects a shift toward more sustainable and versatile manufacturing processes, reinforcing methanol’s strategic industrial position.

Several external factors continue to shape methanol pricing and demand trends across regions. Crude oil price fluctuations influence methanol’s competitiveness as an alternative fuel, while geopolitical shifts, trade policies, and currency volatility affect supply chains and global trade flows. Regulatory support for eco-friendly fuels and growing environmental awareness are accelerating methanol adoption in automotive and marine sectors. Meanwhile, rising investment in methanol production capacity by major players is intensifying market competition. The expanding use of methanol in chemical synthesis and material processing, paired with ongoing research into more efficient feedstock utilization, is expected to further strengthen the industry’s long-term growth outlook.

Strategic Forecasting and Analysis:

IMARC’s report incorporates forecasting models that project near-term price movements based on evolving trade policies, raw material supply, and technological trends. These tools enable businesses to mitigate risk, enhance sourcing strategies, and support long-term planning.

Key Features of the Report:

  • Price Charts and Historical Data
  • FOB and CIF Spot Pricing
  • Regional Demand-Supply Assessments
  • Port-Level Price Analysis
  • Sector-Specific Demand and Supply Insights

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