Wheat Prices, Trend, Chart, Demand, Market Analysis, News, Historical and Forecast Data Report 2025 Edition
Wheat Price Trend, Index and Forecast
Track the latest insights on wheat price trend and forecast with detailed analysis of regional fluctuations and market dynamics across North America, Latin America, Central Europe, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, Middle East, North Africa, West Africa, Central and Southern Africa, Central Asia, Southeast Asia, South Asia, East Asia, and Oceania.
Wheat Prices Outlook Q3 2025
- USA: USD 297/MT
- Canada: USD 304/MT
- Germany: USD 251/MT
- Ukraine: USD 235/MT
- France: USD 225/MT
Wheat Price Chart
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During the third quarter of 2025, the wheat prices in the USA reached 297 USD/MT in September. The upward price trajectory was predominantly driven by strengthening export demand, particularly from Asian and Middle Eastern markets, as buyers sought to diversify procurement sources amid Black Sea supply uncertainties. Robust domestic flour milling demand maintained steady baseline consumption, whilst livestock feed applications provided supplementary support. Competition from alternative global origins, particularly Australian and Argentine supplies, intensified within cost-sensitive international markets.
During the third quarter of 2025, the wheat prices in Canada reached 304 USD/MT in September. The decline in price was largely influenced by improved domestic harvest conditions and steady throughput at major grain terminals. Favorable weather during critical growing phases enhanced crop quality and yields, easing supply concerns that had driven earlier firmness. Export competitiveness improved as the Canadian dollar remained relatively stable, supporting outward flows while keeping internal procurement balanced. Meanwhile, demand from key importers normalized following earlier stock-building, moderating bidding intensity. Freight normalization and lower energy costs further contributed to downward adjustments, while traders remained attentive to evolving global cues from other major wheat-producing regions that could influence export parity and pricing momentum into the next quarter.
During the third quarter of 2025, the wheat prices in Germany reached 251 USD/MT in September. The price decrease in Germany was primarily driven by a combination of favorable weather conditions that supported wheat yields across the country. Furthermore, an increase in supply from other European countries, including France and Ukraine, placed downward pressure on German wheat prices. However, the strong competition in the global wheat export market and fluctuating demand from key importers also played a role in stabilizing the price at a competitive level.
During the third quarter of 2025, the wheat prices in Ukraine reached 235 USD/MT in September. The price decrease was primarily driven by a combination of favorable weather conditions that contributed to a strong harvest season, resulting in an oversupply of wheat. The ongoing geopolitical tensions in Ukraine continued to affect its wheat export logistics, contributing to some volatility in pricing. Although these tensions did not fully disrupt the supply chain, they did lead to increased uncertainty surrounding the consistency and security of wheat exports, which impacted market sentiment.
During the third quarter of 2025, the wheat prices in France reached 225 USD/MT in September. Increased competition from other European countries, such as Germany and Ukraine, which experienced significant wheat production, also impacted France’s pricing structure. As these countries offered competitively priced wheat, France faced pressure to adjust its prices in order to maintain its market share in the global export market. Besides, rising logistical costs affected export activities, particularly to North Africa and other regions, adding additional costs to wheat exports from France, though this was partially offset by the country’s relatively strong domestic supply.
Wheat Prices Outlook Q2 2025
- USA: USD 285/MT
- Canada: USD 315/MT
- Germany: USD 265/MT
- United Kingdom: USD 342/MT
- Brazil: USD 260/MT
During the second quarter of 2025, wheat prices in the United States reached 285 USD/MT in June. The US wheat prices showed a relatively firm trend, supported by strong export demand and concerns over weather-related yield risks in key growing regions. While spring wheat planting progressed, dryness in parts of the Midwest and Northern Plains raised supply uncertainties. Export competitiveness against Black Sea wheat added volatility. Domestic demand for food processing stayed stable, while feed usage remained subdued. Overall, balanced supply-demand fundamentals and weather concerns underpinned a steady to slightly bullish price sentiment throughout the quarter.
During the second quarter of 2025, wheat prices in Canada reached 315 USD/MT in June. Variable weather patterns and steady international demand influenced Canada’s wheat market. Prairie growing conditions raised concerns over crop quality, supporting a cautious upward tone in prices. Export activity to Asia remained firm, enhancing market sentiment, though competition from Russia and Australia limited significant price gains. Domestic milling demand provided additional stability, while feed demand stayed soft. Overall, Canadian wheat prices reflected a moderately bullish undertone, shaped primarily by weather-related risks and sustained export commitments.
During the second quarter of 2025, the wheat prices in Germany reached 265 USD/MT in June. German wheat prices trended upward, largely supported by persistent rainfall and cooler temperatures that delayed crop development in major producing regions. This raised concerns about yields and grain quality, particularly for milling wheat. Strong demand from domestic flour mills provided added support, while export activity stayed moderate. Higher production costs also exerted upward pressure. Overall, market sentiment remained firm, with weather-induced uncertainty driving cautious procurement and reinforcing a bullish undertone.
During the second quarter of 2025, the wheat prices in the United Kingdom reached 342 USD/MT in June. Wheat prices in the United Kingdom followed a stable to firm trajectory, driven by weather-related delays in crop development and strong demand from domestic millers. Concerns over excessive moisture in key producing areas raised quality risks, lending support to market sentiment. While imports helped ease supply pressure, higher global freight rates added to landed costs. Competitive Black Sea supply limited export opportunities but did not significantly weigh on local pricing. Overall, UK wheat markets held steady with a slightly bullish tone.
During the second quarter of 2025, the wheat prices in Brazil reached 260 USD/MT in June. Brazil's wheat prices reflected a firm undertone, driven by robust import demand to cover domestic shortfalls. Adverse weather in southern producing states reduced crop expectations, increasing reliance on imports, particularly from Argentina and North America. Currency fluctuations added to price volatility, while strong demand from millers sustained market firmness. Rising logistics and transportation costs also contributed to upward price pressures. Overall, wheat prices in Brazil showed resilience, with external sourcing and weaker harvest projections influencing a bullish quarter.
Wheat Prices Outlook Q1 2025
- USA: USD 290/MT
- Canada: USD 340/MT
- Germany: USD 245/MT
- United Kingdom: USD 330/MT
- Brazil: USD 250/MT
During the first quarter of 2025, the wheat prices in the USA reached 290 USD/MT in March. New tariffs imposed by the government on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China prompted retaliatory measures targeting American agricultural exports, including wheat. These trade tensions reduced export opportunities and increased input costs for U.S. farmers, further impacting wheat prices. The combination of reduced government assistance and market volatility led to financial distress among farmers, thus influencing the prices.
During the first quarter of 2025, the wheat prices in Canada reached 340 USD/MT in March. As per the wheat price chart, the market faced price volatility. The United States implemented 25% tariffs on Canadian imports, including wheat. Hence, the initial imposition of tariffs and the ensuing uncertainty disrupted trade flows and contributed to price volatility. Moreover, Canada is an exporter of high-protein wheat to a global range of markets, which sustains the demand and supports prices.
During the first quarter of 2025, the wheat prices in Germany reached 245 USD/MT in March. Germany experienced excessive rainfall, potentially impacting crop yields and causing concerns about the quality of the harvested wheat. Besides, increased speculative activity in wheat markets also influenced prices.
During the first quarter of 2025, the wheat prices in the United Kingdom reached 330 USD/MT in March. A significant shift from January's wheat figures showed a decrease in domestic consumption. This was primarily due to a fall in bioethanol usage. Despite a decline in predicted imports and an increase in estimated exports, ending stocks were virtually stable.
During the first quarter of 2025, the wheat prices in Brazil reached 250 USD/MT in March. In the southern states of Brazil, such as Paraná and Rio Grande do Sul, wheat prices showed signs of firming up due to localized demand and supply conditions. These regional variations added complexity to the national pricing landscape.
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Regional Coverage
The report provides a detailed analysis of the market across different regions, each with unique pricing dynamics influenced by localized market conditions, supply chain intricacies, and geopolitical factors. This includes price trends, price forecast and supply and demand trends for each region, along with spot prices by major ports. The report also provides coverage of FOB and CIF prices, as well as the key factors influencing the wheat prices.
Europe Wheat Price Trend
Q3 2025:
As per the wheat price index, prices in Europe were impacted by a combination of supply, demand, and economic factors that shaped the overall market trends. The wheat price index in Europe was primarily influenced by favorable weather conditions in key growing regions, which led to strong harvests, particularly in countries like France and Germany. This increase in supply resulted in downward pressure on prices, as a larger-than-expected yield in major wheat-producing countries contributed to an oversupply in the market. Additionally, wheat prices were affected by increased competition from Eastern European producers, especially Ukraine and Russia, which offered lower prices, adding further downward pressure on European wheat prices.
Q2 2025:
As per the wheat price index, European wheat prices declined in the second quarter of 2025, weighed down by weak export demand and abundant crop prospects. Euronext futures fell steadily as favorable growing conditions boosted supply expectations. The EU’s reintroduction of quotas on Ukrainian wheat offered limited support, as regional farmers continued facing competition from cheaper imports. Rising energy and fertilizer costs increased production challenges but did little to offset bearish pricing pressure. Overall, the market trended soft to bearish across the quarter, with plentiful supplies and sluggish trade activity undermining price stability despite localized cost pressures.
Q1 2025:
As per the wheat price index, European wheat exports faced challenges due to subdued global demand. France, for instance, reduced its export forecast for soft wheat. This decline in export activity contributed to the downward trend in prices. Besides, the European Commission proposed imposing tariffs on Russian and Belarusian agricultural imports, including wheat, aiming to reduce Russian export revenue and disrupt trade flows. While these measures were intended to stabilize the market, they introduced uncertainties that affected pricing dynamics.
Detailed price information for wheat can also be provided for an extensive list of European countries.
| Region | Countries Covered |
|---|---|
| Europe | Germany, France, United Kingdom, Italy, Spain, Russia, Turkey, Netherlands, Poland, Sweden, Belgium, Austria, Ireland, Switzerland, Norway, Denmark, Romania, Finland, Czech Republic, Portugal, and Greece, among other European countries. |
North America Wheat Price Trend
Q3 2025:
As per the wheat price index, the USA saw slight price increases, driven primarily by domestic supply constraints. Adverse weather conditions earlier in the year, particularly in key wheat-growing regions like the US Plains and parts of the Canadian Prairies, reduced crop yields, tightening the available supply. Additionally, fluctuations in the value of the US Dollar against other currencies played a significant role in determining wheat export competitiveness. Moreover, high freight and logistics costs contributed to the overall price increase, as transportation rates remained elevated due to continued supply chain disruptions globally.
Q2 2025:
In North America, wheat prices weakened through Q2 2025, largely influenced by trends on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), the benchmark exchange for global wheat futures. Ample U.S. supply, favorable weather, and high ending stocks pressured CBOT contracts, which set the tone for regional market sentiment. Canada also reported steady yields, reinforcing supply abundance across the region. Export demand remained sluggish as Black Sea suppliers undercut prices. Overall, the CBOT’s bearish momentum reflected ample inventories and muted demand, keeping wheat prices under downward pressure.
Q1 2025:
The U.S. imposed tariffs on imports, leading to retaliatory tariffs on American agricultural exports, including wheat. These trade tensions disrupted export markets, contributing to price volatility. Besides, rising global trade tensions, especially between China and the U.S., created uncertainty and weighed on market sentiment. Moreover, Hard Red Spring class of wheat saw a price increase in the U.S., potentially due to a combination of rebounding demand and strong export demand.
Specific wheat historical data within the United States and Canada can also be provided.
| Region | Countries Covered |
|---|---|
| North America | United States and Canada |
Middle East and Africa Wheat Price Trend
Q3 2025:
As per wheat price chart, the prices in the Middle East and Africa fluctuated due to a complex interplay of factors, primarily driven by supply chain disruptions, seasonal demand shifts, and geopolitical influences.
Q2 2025:
The report explores the wheat pricing trends and wheat price chart in the Middle East and Africa, considering factors like regional industrial growth, the availability of natural resources, and geopolitical tensions that uniquely influence market prices.
In addition to region-wise data, information on wheat prices for countries can also be provided.
| Region | Countries Covered |
|---|---|
| Middle East & Africa | Saudi Arabia, UAE, Israel, Iran, South Africa, Nigeria, Oman, Kuwait, Qatar, Iraq, Egypt, Algeria, and Morocco, among other Middle Eastern and African countries. |
Asia Pacific Wheat Price Trend
Q3 2025:
In the third quarter of 2025, wheat prices in the Asia Pacific region were influenced by several key factors, including production conditions, global supply, and demand dynamics. In India, wheat prices remained relatively stable, driven by a strong domestic harvest that reduced reliance on imports. However, fluctuations in monsoon patterns, which impacted the quality and yield of crops in some regions, introduced a degree of uncertainty regarding future production, indirectly affecting market sentiment. In Japan and South Korea, wheat prices remained stable, supported by steady demand from the food processing industry, particularly for bread and noodles.
Q2 2025:
Wheat prices in APAC remained relatively stable, supported by favorable weather conditions and consistent supply levels across major producing nations. Australia’s steady harvest outlook eased regional pressure, while imports from Russia and Ukraine helped balance demand in Southeast Asia. Inventories were well managed, curbing potential spikes, and consumption patterns stayed steady, especially in the food and feed sectors. Although occasional logistical disruptions caused brief fluctuations, the overall sentiment in the quarter was balanced, reflecting mild optimism with prices trending within a stable to moderately firm range.
Q1 2025:
China, a major wheat importer, experienced reduced import demand, likely due to economic concerns and other factors affecting domestic consumption and livestock industries. Besides, Indonesian demand was falling due to higher rice output and currency concerns. These variations in supply and demand have changed the wheat market dynamics. Moreover, localized supply deficits and rebounding demand in specific sectors contributed to price increases in certain regions.
This wheat price analysis can be expanded to include a comprehensive list of countries within the region.
| Region | Countries Covered |
|---|---|
| Asia Pacific | China, India, Indonesia, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Japan, Philippines, Vietnam, Thailand, South Korea, Malaysia, Nepal, Taiwan, Sri Lanka, Hongkong, Singapore, Australia, and New Zealand, among other Asian countries. |
Latin America Wheat Price Trend
Q3 2025:
Some Latin American producers, especially Argentina and Brazil, reported favorable yields and competitive production costs, which boosted regional availability and tempered price pressure. The ability of these exporters to move grain intra-regionally constrained sharp local price spikes and encouraged arbitrage flows across borders. Besides, transportation bottlenecks, port congestion, inland trucking costs, and coastal freight rates all played pivotal roles in shaping landed wheat cost.
Q2 2025:
Latin American currencies faced pressures against the US dollar in Q2 2025, which raised the local-currency cost of imports and encouraged exporters to hold back shipments in hopes of more favorable forex terms. Latin American buyers remained sensitive to global export prices, particularly from North America, Black Sea, and Australian origins. However, domestic demand for flour, industrial use, and feed continued to set the baseline demand pull.
Q1 2025:
As per the wheat price index, the transition from El Niño to La Niña weather conditions posed challenges for wheat production. These rapid shifts led to extreme weather events, such as droughts and floods, affecting crop yields and contributing to price volatility. Moreover, wholesale prices of wheat increased in most countries in February 2025, aligning with seasonal trends and market dynamics.
This comprehensive review can be extended to include specific countries within the region.
| Region | Countries Covered |
|---|---|
| Latin America | Brazil, Mexico, Argentina, Columbia, Chile, Ecuador, and Peru, among other Latin American countries. |
Wheat Price Trend, Market Analysis, and News
IMARC's latest publication, “Wheat Prices, Trend, Chart, Demand, Market Analysis, News, Historical and Forecast Data Report 2025 Edition,” presents a detailed examination of the wheat market, providing insights into both global and regional trends that are shaping prices. This report delves into the spot price of wheat at major ports and analyzes the composition of prices, including FOB and CIF terms. It also presents detailed wheat prices trend analysis by region, covering North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Latin America, and Middle East and Africa. The factors affecting wheat pricing, such as the dynamics of supply and demand, geopolitical influences, and sector-specific developments, are thoroughly explored. This comprehensive report helps stakeholders stay informed with the latest market news, regulatory updates, and technological progress, facilitating informed strategic decision-making and forecasting.
Wheat Industry Analysis
The global wheat market size reached USD 50.21 Billion in 2024. By 2033, IMARC Group expects the market to reach USD 75.26 Billion, at a projected CAGR of 4.37% during 2025-2033. The market is primarily driven by population growth, which increases food consumption, rising urbanization, leading to higher demand for processed foods, and global dietary shifts, with wheat-based products like bread and pasta becoming more integral in diverse cuisines.
Latest developments in the wheat industry:
- October 2025: Bangladesh’s Cabinet Committee on Government Purchase approved the acquisition of approximately 220,000 metric tons of US wheat through a government-to-government agreement. This purchase was part of an effort to alleviate trade tensions with Washington, which had arisen following the import tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump’s administration. The deal was seen as a strategic move to strengthen bilateral relations and ensure a steady supply of wheat.
- March 2023: Allied Pinnacle, a flour and bakery manufacturer, has obtained exclusive rights to mill the high-fiber HAW1 wheat in Australia, which will be commercially available this year and offers up to six times more fiber than regular flour. The HAW1 variety, developed by Arista Cereals through a joint venture between CSIRO and Limagrain, is being grown in Victoria and southern New South Wales. This initiative involves a closed-loop arrangement with Australian growers, ensuring a premium return for the specialty wheat despite slightly lower yields compared to standard milling grades.
- June 2023: Bunge Limited announced a definitive agreement to merge with Viterra Limited, a Jersey-based company, along with affiliates of Glencore PLC, CPP Investments, and BCI. This stock and cash merger is expected to create a leading global agribusiness company, enhancing its global network, diversifying across geographies, crops, and seasonal cycles, and improving risk management and resilience.
Product Description
Wheat is a cereal grain widely cultivated, serving as a staple food. It includes several types, such as common wheat, durum wheat, and spelt, each with distinct properties suited for different culinary purposes. It is a rich source of carbohydrates, which provide energy, and protein, essential for muscle growth and repair. It also contains fiber for digestive health, as well as vitamins and minerals like B vitamins, iron, and magnesium.
Additionally, wheat serves as a versatile ingredient in various cuisines worldwide, utilized to make bread, pasta, noodles, pastries, and breakfast cereals, among other foods. Its advantages extend beyond basic needs as wheat farming is vital for agricultural economies, supporting food security while offering farmers a means of subsistence.
Report Coverage
| Key Attributes | Details |
|---|---|
| Product Name | Wheat |
| Report Features | Exploration of Historical Trends and Market Outlook, Industry Demand, Industry Supply, Gap Analysis, Challenges, Wheat Price Analysis, and Segment-Wise Assessment. |
| Currency/Units | US$ (Data can also be provided in local currency) or Metric Tons |
| Region/Countries Covered | The current coverage includes analysis at the global and regional levels only. Based on your requirements, we can also customize the report and provide specific information for the following countries: Asia Pacific: China, India, Indonesia, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Japan, Philippines, Vietnam, Thailand, South Korea, Malaysia, Nepal, Taiwan, Sri Lanka, Hongkong, Singapore, Australia, New Zealand* Europe: Germany, France, United Kingdom, Italy, Spain, Russia, Turkey, Netherlands, Poland, Sweden, Belgium, Austria, Ireland, Switzerland, Norway, Denmark, Romania, Finland, Czech Republic, Portugal, Greece* North America: United States, Canada Latin America: Brazil, Mexico, Argentina, Columbia, Chile, Ecuador, Peru* Middle East & Africa: Saudi Arabia, UAE, Israel, Iran, South Africa, Nigeria, Oman, Kuwait, Qatar, Iraq, Egypt, Algeria, Morocco* *The list of countries presented is not exhaustive. Information on additional countries can be provided if required by the client. |
| Information Covered for Key Suppliers |
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| Customization Scope | The report can be customized as per the requirements of the customer |
| Report Price and Purchase Option |
Plan A: Monthly Updates - Annual Subscription
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Plan C: Biannually Updates - Annual Subscription
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| Post-Sale Analyst Support | 360-degree analyst support after report delivery |
| Delivery Format | PDF and Excel through email (We can also provide the editable version of the report in PPT/Word format on special request) |
Key Benefits for Stakeholders:
- IMARC’s report presents a detailed analysis of wheat pricing, covering global and regional trends, spot prices at key ports, and a breakdown of FOB and CIF prices.
- The study examines factors affecting wheat price trend, including input costs, supply-demand shifts, and geopolitical impacts, offering insights for informed decision-making.
- The competitive landscape review equips stakeholders with crucial insights into the latest market news, regulatory changes, and technological advancements, ensuring a well-rounded, strategic overview for forecasting and planning.
- IMARC offers various subscription options, including monthly, quarterly, and biannual updates, allowing clients to stay informed with the latest market trends, ongoing developments, and comprehensive market insights. The wheat price charts ensure our clients remain at the forefront of the industry.
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