Yellow Phosphorus Prices

Yellow Phosphorus Price Trend and Forecast

Track the latest insights on yellow phosphorus price trend and forecast with detailed analysis of regional fluctuations and market dynamics across North America, Latin America, Central Europe, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, Middle East, North Africa, West Africa, Central and Southern Africa, Central Asia, Southeast Asia, South Asia, East Asia, and Oceania.

Yellow Phosphorus Prices Outlook Q2 2025

• USA: US$ 4520/MT
• Canada: US$ 4752/MT
• China: US$ 3317/MT
• Japan: US$ 4285/MT
• Germany: US$ 3638/MT

Yellow Phosphorus Price Chart

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During the second quarter of 2025, the yellow phosphorus prices in the USA reached 4520 USD/MT in June. As per the yellow phosphorus price chart, prices moved within a narrow band, shaped by external sourcing patterns and uneven sectoral demand. Production costs stayed sensitive to international sourcing choices. As some US firms steered away from Chinese-origin feedstock, supply chains adjusted to include more Vietnamese and Southeast Asian producers. This shift introduced logistical variability, affecting pricing stability and contract negotiations.

During the second quarter of 2025, the yellow phosphorus prices in Canada reached 4752 USD/MT in June. Buyers, particularly in the semiconductor supply chain, continued to procure for steady demand. However, many were sitting on high inventory from prior quarters. This led to cautious purchasing strategies and fewer spot transactions, which reduced upward pressure on prices.

During the second quarter of 2025, yellow phosphorus prices in China reached 3317 USD/MT in June. Prices in China were influenced by a mix of steady demand and growing market imbalances. They initially rose through the quarter, but eventually eased by the end of June. The shift came as inventories built up at producer and trader levels, and buyers in both domestic and export markets slowed their spot procurement activity. Besides, production in China remained stable, with output levels sustained by long-term contracts and consistent downstream consumption, especially in semiconductor and fertilizer applications.

During the second quarter of 2025, the yellow phosphorus prices in Japan reached 4285 USD/MT in June. Toward the end of the quarter, buyers in Japan scaled back spot purchases. Local inventories also got built up, which lowered the urgency to secure additional volumes. Traders grew cautious, watching for direction in export pricing, and the pace of transactions slowed despite otherwise stable downstream consumption. Moreover, Japanese production costs remained mostly unchanged through the quarter.

During the second quarter of 2025, the yellow phosphorus prices in Germany reached 3638 USD/MT in June. German buyers showed no urgency to restock beyond what was immediately required. Most of the demand was filled through spot imports with no major supply disruptions or logistical bottlenecks affecting these flows. The regularity of these shipments helped anchor pricing. High energy prices and tightened environmental rules also indirectly affected the cost base for producers supplying Europe.

Yellow Phosphorus Prices Outlook Q1 2025

• USA: US$ 4,410/Ton
• Canada: US$ 4,650/Ton
• China: US$ 3,233/Ton
• Japan: US$ 4,156/Ton
• Germany: US$ 3,581/Ton

During the first quarter of 2025, the yellow phosphorus prices in the USA reached 4,410 USD/Ton in March. As per the yellow phosphorus price chart, due to a reliance on Vietnamese imports and consistent domestic production, the market experienced minimal activity. Besides, the fertilizer and phosphoric acid industries remained weak. However, the expansion of semiconductors boosted demand and helped drive price changes. Moreover, demand from the IT sector and export flows drove significant price rises in March.

During the first quarter of 2025, the yellow phosphorus prices in Canada reached 4,650 USD/Ton in March. The market remained subdued due to the country's continued industrial downturn and import dependency. Although the demand from the industrial and fertilizer industries remained low, local producers continued to function steadily. Besides, prices increased as March drew near, driven by the global IT sector's revival and Vietnam's restricted supply, which remained crucial for keeping inventories stable.

During the first quarter of 2025, the yellow phosphorus prices in China reached 3,233 USD/Ton in March. The pricing environment was mixed, with supply constraints and friction in international commerce affecting local industry. Even while domestic demand for fertilizers and allied industries was weak, semiconductor momentum provided some signs of improvement. Prices increased toward March due to output limitations at major overseas suppliers and growing demand for high-performance chips worldwide.

During the first quarter of 2025, the yellow phosphorus prices in Japan reached 4,156 USD/Ton in March. Due to weak fertilizer and industrial demand, Japan's yellow phosphorus consumption in early 2025 was muted. However, the resurgence of semiconductors gave some hope. Due to the nation's reliance on outside suppliers, supply interruptions resulted in limited availability. Demand from the semiconductor industry and continued trade volatility among major nations caused prices to increase in March.

During the first quarter of 2025, the yellow phosphorus prices in Germany reached 3,581 USD/Ton in March. The demand for yellow phosphorus remained low due to a sluggish manufacturing sector and a large reliance on imports. The region relied on Vietnamese supply, which was interrupted earlier in the quarter because local output was insufficient. By March, price increases were driven by the global IT sector's pull and export revival.

Yellow Phosphorus Prices Outlook Q4 2024

• Japan: US$ 4,087/MT

During the last quarter of 2024, the yellow phosphorus prices in the Japan reached 4,087 USD/MT in December. In Q4 2024, there were significant price changes in Japan's yellow phosphorus market due to shifting industrial demand and supply situations. Slow phosphorus chloride use and excess inventory caused price drops in October. By November, a major Vietnamese producer's supply shortage caused prices to spike. Despite poor activity in the fertilizer and phosphoric acid markets, the semiconductor sector, propelled by the growth of AI, increased demand in December and maintained pricing increases.

Yellow Phosphorus Prices Outlook Q2 2024

• Japan: US$ 3,939/MT

The yellow phosphorus prices in Japan for Q2 2024 reached 3,939 USD/MT in June. Japan's yellow phosphorus pricing in Q2 2024 showed notable growth, propelled by strong requirements from downstream phosphoric acid sectors and projected advancements in agriculture. Supply disruptions in the APAC region, caused by unplanned plant closures in China as a result of Hubei's earthquake and floods, tightened availability, further supporting price increases. Increasing feedstock costs also played a role in higher production expenses, enhancing positive optimism in the market. Although there was a slight overall quarterly decline of -2%, prices in Japan remained stable, ending at 3920 USD /MT CFR Tokyo. The market showed a trend that was steady to positive, influenced by seasonal pricing patterns and supply constraints.

Yellow Phosphorus Prices Outlook Q4 2023

• Japan: US$ 3,975/MT

The yellow phosphorus prices in Japan for Q4 2023 reached 3,975 USD/MT in December. The market experienced a modest increase in prices during the fourth quarter. The Japanese Yen strengthened against the US Dollar, but market fundamentals showed signs of weakening. Demand fluctuations were observed, particularly from the agricultural and phosphoric acid sectors, impacting the overall market stability. Despite this, the market managed to register a slight increase in pricing compared to the previous year, reflecting the ongoing adjustments within the industry.

Regional Coverage

The report provides a detailed analysis of the market across different regions, each with unique pricing dynamics influenced by localized market conditions, supply chain intricacies, and geopolitical factors. This includes price trends, price forecast and supply and demand trends for each region, along with spot prices by major ports. The report also provides coverage of FOB and CIF prices, as well as the key factors influencing the yellow phosphorus prices.

Global Yellow Phosphorus Price Trend

The report offers a holistic view of the global yellow phosphorus pricing trends in the form of yellow phosphorus price charts, reflecting the worldwide interplay of supply-demand balances, international trade policies, and overarching economic factors that shape the market on a macro level. This comprehensive analysis not only highlights current price levels but also provides insights into historical price of yellow phosphorus, enabling stakeholders to understand past fluctuations and their underlying causes. The report also delves into price forecast models, projecting future price movements based on a variety of indicators such as expected changes in supply chain dynamics, anticipated policy shifts, and emerging market trends. By examining these factors, the report equips industry participants with the necessary tools to make informed strategic decisions, manage risks, and capitalize on market opportunities. Furthermore, it includes a detailed yellow phosphorus demand analysis, breaking down regional variations and identifying key drivers specific to each geographic market, thus offering a nuanced understanding of the global pricing landscape.

Europe Yellow Phosphorus Price Trend

Q2 2025:

Yellow phosphorus prices in Europe stayed largely stable. This was shaped by a mix of muted demand, cost-conscious import strategies, and regulatory headwinds that left the market without any major price shifts. Regional consumption stayed soft. The electronics and agrochemical sectors maintained predictable procurement levels, without pushing for additional stockpiling. Although local production was not driving supply, input costs indirectly influenced the overall pricing environment. Rising energy prices and the added burden of environmental compliance rules increased the cost basis for suppliers, especially those dependent on imports, further influencing pricing trends.

Q1 2025:

Due to import reliance and weak demand, European yellow phosphorus prices showed limited fluctuation. Suppliers had to rely largely on supplies from Vietnam, where facility maintenance interrupted output. Besides, the resiliency of the semiconductor industry provided a unique bright spot, indicating a rise in industrial consumption. However, due to poor industry turnaround and large inventory levels, broader markets continued to be disappointing. By March, there were substantial price increases due to tighter supply lines and renewed demand, especially from international tech companies.

Q4 2024:

Although supply flow was restricted by logistical difficulties and geopolitical uncertainties, prices were still high by November due to consistent export demand. However, a turning point was reached in December when prices dropped as a result of restricted domestic consumption, increasing production volumes, and larger stock levels. Price pressure was increased by growing competition from sunflower oil, and purchasing sentiment was tempered by the euro's and the hryvnia's decline versus the US dollar. The gloomy market trend was further exacerbated by seasonal slowdowns, weaker consumer spending, and less industrial activity over the holiday season.

Q2 2024:

The European market for yellow phosphorus in Q2 2024 experienced a negative trend, driven by reduced requirements from agriculture and other downstream sectors, leading to a buildup of inventories. Low demand from customers in Germany, combined with Middle East tensions and pressures from the global market, caused prices to decline early in the quarter. Midway through, Western Europe had waterlogging due to the significant rains and issues with insects, discouraging expenditures on fertilizer in nations such as the Netherlands, Germany, and the United Kingdom. However, late in the quarter, costs in Germany rose moderately as a result of supply shortages brought on by the Rhine River's rising flood levels, postponing shipments, and tightening availability.

Q4 2023:

The market during the fourth quarter of 2023 was characterized by fluctuating conditions. The period started with strong demand from fertilizer producers and stable overseas imports, which initially supported the market. However, setbacks in manufacturing production across the Eurozone led to a more bearish outlook as the quarter advanced. The increase in production costs, influenced by rising gas prices and expensive raw materials, further complicated the market dynamics. While there was a brief surge in prices in regions like Belgium due to improving demand conditions, the overall sentiment remained cautious, marked by significant destocking activities and high product inventories.

This analysis can be extended to include detailed yellow phosphorus price information for a comprehensive list of countries.

North America Yellow Phosphorus Price Trend

Q2 2025:

As per the yellow phosphorus price index, prices in North America moved within a narrow band, influenced by several overlapping pressures and responses in the market. With many North American buyers avoiding Chinese-origin phosphorus, alternative suppliers in Southeast Asia gained traction. This shift created supply-side uncertainty and added logistical layers, but these were managed without significant price disruption. The sourcing transition contributed to mild upward cost pressure but did not translate into sharp price movements as inventories remained adequate. The semiconductor sector continued to support baseline demand, particularly for phosphine gas and other advanced material precursors.

Q1 2025:

Yellow phosphorus activity in North America stayed mostly modest due to consistent domestic production and a persistent reliance on foreign suppliers, particularly from Vietnam. Even though operational stability provided some regularity, an uneven economic recovery hampered demand in downstream industries like fertilizer and phosphoric acid. Although still high, power costs eventually decreased, which somewhat eased production limitations. The semiconductor industry, in contrast, saw growth and contributed to the stabilization of the market mood. By March, export-driven momentum, particularly in the context of US-China trade tensions, led to a significant price increase, supported by rekindled demand from the international chip industry.

Q4 2024:

In Q4 2024, prices in North America exhibited a vigorous pattern influenced by changes in industrial demand and fluctuating supply situations. Although muted large-scale purchases limited market momentum, the quarter began with solid pricing, bolstered by constant fertilizer and phosphoric acid usage. Due to supply constraints brought on by logistical challenges and decreased domestic production in the face of increased energy prices, a price hike surfaced in November. By December, more price increases were being driven by increased demand from the electronics and semiconductor sectors, especially in Germany and Eastern Europe. Due to a decrease in winter agricultural activity, fertilizer demand was dampened, although phosphate rock prices stayed steady.

Q2 2024:

The North American yellow phosphorus market in Q2 2024 exhibited a negative trend, driven by decreased requirements from industries downstream, especially in farming and cultivation. Farmers reduced their use of fertilizer amid concerns over finances and inventory buildup, leading to slower market activity. Geomagnetic storms in North Dakota disrupted planting operations, further curbing domestic demand. On the supply side, European production limitations, China's trade restrictions, and sanctions on Russia and Belarus added to market pressures. In addition, reduced requirements from foreign markets, such as Spain and Norway, affected export opportunities. These factors contributed to declining prices and a downturn in the region’s market.

Q4 2023:

During the last quarter of 2023, the market displayed varied trends. Initially, a downturn in demand from secondary industries led to a surplus in stock, coupled with a drop in the manufacturing PMI that indicated a contraction in industrial activities. Yet, as the quarter progressed, the market saw a slight rise in yellow phosphorus prices. This rebound was primarily supported by vigorous demand within the fertilizer sector, which benefited from steady purchase rates and a positive shift in market sentiments. Additionally, stable demand was noted from the phosphorus trichloride sector. The quarter concluded without any disruptions from plant closures, emphasizing a period of mixed market activity influenced by industry demands and supply factors.

Specific yellow phosphorus historical data within the United States and Canada can also be provided.

Middle East and Africa Yellow Phosphorus Price Trend

Q2 2025:

The report explores the yellow phosphorus trends and yellow phosphorus price chart in the Middle East and Africa, considering factors like regional industrial growth, the availability of natural resources, and geopolitical tensions that uniquely influence market prices.

Q1 2025:

The report explores the yellow phosphorus trends and yellow phosphorus price chart in the Middle East and Africa, considering factors like regional industrial growth, the availability of natural resources, and geopolitical tensions that uniquely influence market prices.

In addition to region-wise data, information on yellow phosphorus prices for countries can also be provided.

Asia Pacific Yellow Phosphorus Price Trend

Q2 2025:

In Q2 2025, yellow phosphorus prices in the Asia Pacific region moved higher on a quarterly average basis but lost some ground by the end of June. Several forces pulled in different directions, shaping this uneven movement. Core demand across fertilizer and semiconductor sectors remained strong, particularly in countries like India, South Korea, and Japan. Buyers held back in anticipation of potential corrections, especially as inventories began to accumulate. This lack of urgency on the buying side put pressure on late-quarter pricing. Production costs stayed favorable throughout the quarter. Electricity rates, heavily influenced by Vietnam’s reliance on hydropower, did not see any major spikes. Feedstock prices for phosphate rock also stayed flat.

Q1 2025:

Limited supply and poor market mood dominated the first quarter in Asia Pacific, especially Vietnam. Pricing decreased in January as a result of production cuts brought on by planned maintenance, which affected local availability. Performance was hampered by the weak demand for fertilizers and phosphoric acid, even though the market for feedstocks was stable. Long-term benefits were suggested by strategic company initiatives intended to optimize costs. By March, prices had increased due to a rebound in demand for semiconductors worldwide, continued trade uncertainty, and the removal of logistical obstacles.

Q4 2024:

In Q4 2024, prices varied a lot in the Asia-Pacific region due to changes in manufacturing and supply dynamics. Vietnam noticed a drop in pricing early in the quarter as supplies remained high and demand for phosphorus chloride sectors decreased. The declining trend was also influenced by weather-related disturbances and Chinese buyers' pre-holiday purchases. However, a significant production halt at Hanoi in November cut supply, which caused a steep price increase. Price stability persisted in December, helped by consistent demand from the semiconductor industry. Vietnam continued to dominate as a major exporter in spite of supply shortages, and industry is beginning to rebound from weather-related difficulties.

Q2 2024:

The Asia Pacific market for yellow phosphorus in Q2 2024 saw substantial cost hikes due to rising requirements from downstream sectors and constrained supply. China's unplanned plant closures, caused by an earthquake in late May, impacted key producers such as Sichuan Linhe Industrial Group and Leshan Jinguang Chemicals. Concurrently, Hubei's floods disrupted production at facilities including Hubei Xingfa Chemicals and Yichang Yatai Chemical, further reducing the supply. A rise in the price of raw material costs also drove production expenses higher, fostering bullish market sentiment. In spite of a slight quarterly drop of -2%, prices exhibited a rising trend, signaling robust demand and supply challenges in the region.

Q4 2023:

The region saw a bullish market in the closing quarter of 2023. Prices escalated due to the import of higher-cost goods alongside a robust demand across the Asian markets. Noteworthy increases in procurement by industries such as rodenticides, fertilizers, and fireworks contributed to this trend, with businesses stocking up in anticipation of the planting season. However, the market dynamics shifted towards the end of the quarter with a decrease in overseas demand and reduced inquiries from the phosphoric acid and agricultural sectors, leading to a complex market scenario with both highs and lows in pricing and demand.

This yellow phosphorus price analysis can be expanded to include a comprehensive list of countries within the region.

Latin America Yellow Phosphorus Price Trend

Q1 2025:

Latin America's yellow phosphorus market is predominantly influenced by its rich natural reserves, particularly in countries like Chile and Brazil. However, political instability and inconsistent regulatory frameworks can lead to significant volatility in yellow phosphorus prices. Infrastructure challenges and logistical inefficiencies often impact the supply chain, affecting the region's ability to meet international demand consistently. Moreover, the yellow phosphorus price index, economic fluctuations, and currency devaluation are critical factors that need to be considered when analyzing yellow phosphorus pricing trends in this region.

This comprehensive review can be extended to include specific countries within the region.

Yellow Phosphorus Price Trend, Market Analysis, and News

IMARC's latest publication, “Yellow Phosphorus Prices, Trend, Chart, Demand, Market Analysis, News, Historical and Forecast Data Report 2025 Edition,” presents a detailed examination of the yellow phosphorus market, providing insights into both global and regional trends that are shaping prices. This report delves into the spot price of yellow phosphorus at major ports and analyzes the composition of prices, including FOB and CIF terms. It also presents detailed yellow phosphorus prices trend analysis by region, covering North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Latin America, and Middle East and Africa. The factors affecting yellow phosphorus pricing, such as the dynamics of supply and demand, geopolitical influences, and sector-specific developments, are thoroughly explored. This comprehensive report helps stakeholders stay informed with the latest market news, regulatory updates, and technological progress, facilitating informed strategic decision-making and forecasting.

Yellow Phosphorus Industry Analysis

The global yellow phosphorus market size reached USD 4.4 Billion in 2024. By 2033, IMARC Group expects the market to reach USD 5.9 Billion, at a projected CAGR of 3.40% during 2025-2033.

• The global increase in agricultural activities to support the expanding population has led to heightened demand for fertilizers, which, in turn, is propelling the need for yellow phosphorus, essential for crop nutrition and soil fertility.
• The expanding demand from the electronics sector, where yellow phosphorus is used in the manufacturing of semiconductors and light-emitting diodes (LED) lights due to its semiconducting properties and role in phosphor coatings, is aiding in market expansion.
• In line with this, the surge in consumer electronics usage and the global shift towards energy-efficient LED lighting solutions have amplified the demand for high-purity yellow phosphorus, thereby providing an impetus to the market growth.
• Moreover, yellow phosphorus is employed as a key ingredient in making flame retardants used in plastics, textiles, and electronics. As a result, with increasing regulations emphasizing fire safety standards globally, the demand for effective flame-retardant materials, such as yellow phosphorus, has escalated, driving the market growth.
• The burgeoning steel industry, wherein yellow phosphorus is used as an alloying agent to improve the strength and corrosion resistance of steel, is fostering market expansion. Ongoing infrastructural development and industrial growth have further heightened the demand for construction materials, such as phosphorus-enhanced steel.
• Additionally, the surging use of yellow phosphorus in energy storage and battery technology, particularly in lithium-ion batteries, due to the expanding adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) and renewable energy storage systems, is presenting lucrative opportunities for market expansion.
• Ongoing research and development (R&D) efforts aimed at discovering new applications of yellow phosphorous, including its utilization in advanced materials and nanotechnology, are creating a positive outlook for market expansion.
• Stringent environmental regulations regarding the extraction and processing of phosphorous owing to its potential environmental hazards and toxicity have a crucial role in shaping the market growth. Alongside this, the companies are compelled to invest in clearer and more sustainable production methods, further impacting production cost and market supply.

Yellow Phosphorus News

The report covers the latest developments, updates, and trends impacting the global yellow phosphorus industry, providing stakeholders with timely and relevant information. This segment covers a wide array of news items, including the inauguration of new production facilities, advancements in yellow phosphorus production technologies, strategic market expansions by key industry players, and significant mergers and acquisitions that impact the yellow phosphorus price trend.

Latest developments in the Yellow Phosphorus industry:

• In October 2023, Sumitomo Corporation signed a joint research agreement with Tohoku University to develop a new production technology for recycled yellow phosphorus, a crucial raw material for semiconductors. The goal is to meet approximately 30% of Japan's future domestic demand by the latter half of the 2020s. The project has received approval and partial funding from Japan's Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) as part of efforts to strengthen supply chains for critical commodities.
• In December 2023, Avenira Limited secured a strategic equity investment of $2 million from Sichuan Hebang Biotechnology Corporation, a public company listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange. The two companies have also entered into a non-binding strategic cooperation and offtake memorandum of understanding (MoU) to work together in the fields of phosphate mining and yellow phosphorus production.

Product Description

Yellow phosphorus is a transparent, waxy and highly reactive solid chemical compound known for its yellowish to whitish appearance. At room temperature, it naturally ignites in the air and is poisonous and inflammable. The chemical is utilized in the synthesis of phosphoric acid, phosphorous pentoxide and phosphorous trichloride.

Yellow phosphorus is offered in different packaging formats, such as bulk containers, drums, or bags, allowing flexibility in handling and storage and catering to diverse customer preferences and logistical requirements.

Yellow phosphorus is widely used in countless applications, such as enhancing the efficacy of fertilizers for robust crop growth, igniting vibrant fireworks displays, and formulating effective rodenticides.

Report Coverage

Key Benefits for Stakeholders:

• IMARC’s report presents a detailed analysis of yellow phosphorus pricing, covering global and regional trends, spot prices at key ports, and a breakdown of FOB and CIF prices.
• The study examines factors affecting yellow phosphorus price trend, including input costs, supply-demand shifts, and geopolitical impacts, offering insights for informed decision-making.
• The competitive landscape review equips stakeholders with crucial insights into the latest market news, regulatory changes, and technological advancements, ensuring a well-rounded, strategic overview for forecasting and planning.
• IMARC offers various subscription options, including monthly, quarterly, and biannual updates, allowing clients to stay informed with the latest market trends, ongoing developments, and comprehensive market insights. The yellow phosphorus price charts ensure our clients remain at the forefront of the industry.